The S&P 500 fell 1.09% on Friday 16 October. Selling that had been confined to AI hardware spread into cybersecurity and cloud software, with financing worries over AI infrastructure the common explanation. Most of the day's large losers had no company news. Weekly figures below run from the 9 October close.
AI Hardware Extends the Selloff
The optical, server and storage slide that began on 8 October ran into a second week. LITE (-25.31% wk) closed at $824.13, with Friday's fall of 5.22% carrying no company cause. The week's largest driver was Broadcom chief executive Hock Tan's remark that access to capital may restrain AI expansion more than chip supply does. CIEN (-26.02% wk) closed at $332.73, below both its 50-day and 200-day averages, and COHR (-7.06%) fell to $232.90. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is on its longest losing streak since 2008.
Servers added a second week of losses after Wednesday's Barclays downgrades. DELL (-22.92% wk) closed at $451.71 and HPE (-24.95% wk) at $55.13. SMCI (-9.86%) fell to $31.63, the steepest session of its 24.44% weekly drop. Coverage links Friday to the sector selloff and to the CFO change announced a day earlier, and the sources give no way to weight the two.
Memory and storage had their fifth straight lower close. SNDK (-6.85%) closed at $1,299.30 and STX (-7.50%) at $639.01. WDC (-6.86%) closed at $332.00. Wells Fargo cut its Seagate target to $865 from $1,180 and Western Digital's to $450 from $730, both with Overweight ratings kept. The Toshiba capacity expansion plan remains the overhang on both. Western Digital's CFO departure was disclosed after the close and is a new factor for Monday.
The financing worry also reached the power and storage-software names that led earlier. BE (-21.10% wk) closed at $221.31, after a 9.15% fall on Wednesday's CPI print and further sector selling since. P (-7.04%) fell for a third session to $124.01, and heavy insider selling reported after Wednesday's close offers the likeliest explanation for the last two legs.
Cybersecurity and Software Join In
This is the new element. A zero-day vulnerability in Palo Alto's PAN-OS firewall software, listed by CISA, hit the cybersecurity group, and the wider software drop coincided with the AI financing concerns. PANW (-7.63%) closed at $342.00 on 1.48x average volume. CRWD (-7.02%) fell to $227.39 and FTNT (-7.03%) to $169.13. Because the three fell by almost the same amount, sector pressure accounts for most of each move. That is my inference, and the reports do not separate the two causes.
Cloud and data software moved alongside. PLTR (-7.22%) closed at $186.03, a loss of roughly $34bn in market value, and DDOG (-7.19%) at $247.11, almost exactly on its 50-day average. TWLO (-10.62%) was the worst performer in the S&P 500 at $244.37. Sources offer competing explanations for Twilio: profit-taking after its index inclusion, valuation pressure, and AI funding concerns. None is confirmed. Analysts raised targets on CrowdStrike, Datadog and Twilio during the week, and no sourced action cut a rating.
One-Offs
MRNA (-7.82%) closed at $218.01, a day after touching a 52-week high of $242.29. Profit-taking in the stock that had risen furthest on the cancer-vaccine rally is the main explanation, and BioNTech and Pfizer fell much less. The shares trade at about 1.6 times Goldman's $137 target, so the Phase 3 melanoma data at ESMO on 24 October carries the valuation.
FLEX (-8.16%) closed at $90.46, down 24.51% on the week. The brief ties the slide to scrutiny of the Axiom spin-off, including the $2bn convertible preferred terms and the $37.5bn enterprise value. Nothing confirms a cause for the last two sessions.
SKYD (-24.56% wk) closed at $6.91. Almost all of the loss came on 14 October when the warrants began trading separately. The shares rose 2.83% on Thursday and fell 4.82% on Friday. Morningstar cut its fair value to $12 from $15.
What to watch:
- 22 October: Bloom Energy (BE) and Western Digital (WDC) report.
- 24 October: Moderna (MRNA) melanoma data at ESMO.
- 27 October: Seagate (STX) earnings.
- 28 October: Flex (FLEX) and Fortinet (FTNT) report.
- 29 October: Sandisk (SNDK) and Twilio (TWLO) report.
- 2 to 5 November: Palantir (PLTR), Super Micro (SMCI), Coherent (COHR), Datadog (DDOG) and Lumentum (LITE).
- 9 November: Skydance (SKYD) earnings.
- 19 November: Palo Alto Networks (PANW) earnings.
- 27 November: Dell (DELL) is listed, though one source cites 24 November.
- 9 December: Ciena (CIEN) fiscal fourth-quarter report.